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decentralized financedigital transformationneobank
·Sep. 18, 2020

Finance blood in the water ($900B wasted on digital transformation) is why neobank Chime is $15B, and why Uniswap could be next

This week, we look at:

  • PwC estimating that $900 billion has been wasted on digital transformation projects for enterprise, meaning finance is vulnerable

  • Chime is worth $15 billion in the latest round of valuation, same as $200B+ depository bank Fifth Third, which is quite the achievement

  • Decentralized exchange Uniswap distributing 60% of its token to the community, flipping the ownership and value accrual model

As a thought experiment -- today, if you want to save for a house, you may create a financial plan in Betterment and wait for the portfolio to accrue. Tomorrow, you may bring cashflows to a housing protocol which intermediates property markets, and build your portfolio directly into your desired goal of buying a house. Your stated selection and articulation of that goal, by choosing the housing protocol, generates value on its own through rewards, participation, governance, and various interest rate products.

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asset managementdigital transformationneobank
·Feb. 24, 2020

Financial Empires fall — HSBC to fire 35,000; E*TRADE sells to Morgan Stanley for $13B

I examine the unbelievable transformation and restructuring happening in high finance. Global bank HSBC is planning to lay off over 10% of staff, looking at reductions of 35,000. E*TRADE is being acquired by Morgan Stanley, integrating its 5,000,000 accounts and $360 billion of assets into the Wall Street investment firm. Legg Mason and its $800 billion of assets are being folded into Franklin Templeton for $4.5 billion, less than what Visa had paid for fintech data aggregator Plaid and half of what Robinhood is likely valued privately. How do we make sense of these developments? How do we appeal to the heart?

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digital transformationmega banksneobankroboadvisor
·Oct. 7, 2019

Fintech Price War — Goldman’s $1.3B Marcus burn, Neobank £200MM loss, ETrade’s $75MM trading fees

We are like the hungry at the all-you-can-eat buffet. In the beginning, there is not enough! Let's democratize access to food; to music; to transportation; to healthcare; to finance; to payments; to banking; to lending; to investing. The billions in institutional capital across universities, pensions, and sovereigns are delegated to smart portfolio managers. The day before yesterday, it was allocated by small cap stock pickers (hi Warren!). Yesterday, it was the alternative managers of hedge funds and private equity. Today, it is the trading machine and the venture capitalist. Tomorrow, it is the cryptographic artificial intelligence.

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acquisitiondigital lendingdigital transformationfinancial advisorsInvestingneobankroboadvisor
·May. 18, 2020

Goldman is trying to build a Fintech powerhouse, and this is how they should do it

This week, we put on the Goldman hat and go shopping for companies. We buy a little bit of Folio and sell some Motif. We look at Personal Capital and the $1 billion it wants for its $12 billion of assets. We examine the private markets with Addepar / iCapital and SharesPost / Forge, and then move over to the banking sector. Should we buy Wells Fargo, as rumored, or some digital wallet apps? Read on for how to acquire a best-in-class Fintech.

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big techdigital transformationneobank
·Aug. 10, 2020

Google banking shows that tech giants are the storefront for everything, and other distributors will fade away

The tech companies will become the storefront to absolutely everything.

There is no Internet, there is only Google.

There is no commerce, there is only Amazon.

There is no finance, there is only WeChat / Tencent?

I don't know about you, but I cannot pay for anything in cash in London anymore. COVID has made the city go cashless. For China, QR codes have long replaced the need for paper money. And if there is no cash, what is the point of ATMs, and ATM fees, and bank branches, and bank branch staff? Financial firms no longer need to be the place where you shop for financial product.

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IPO / SPACneobanksuper app
·Apr. 19, 2021

Grab’s $40 billion SPAC in the context of Uber’s borked neobank, Apple’s iOS, and Ant Financial’s superapp

This week, we look at:

  • The economics of Southeast Asia’s largest super-app and its $40 billion SPAC valuation

  • The industrial logic of building out financial features adjacent to the core business of transportation and delivery

  • Why this model has not worked for Uber, but has worked for Apple, and the broader impact on financial services.

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IPO / SPACneobankpaytechventure capital
·Feb. 15, 2021

How $12 Billion in Fintech SPAC capital is teaching us about the economics of target unicorns like Payoneer, Apex, SoFi, and MoneyLion

This week, we look at:

  • The $12 billion in cumulative SPAC capital focused on Fintech, of which $3.6 billion has been raised in 2021 Q1 alone

  • Analysis of the private and public financial services markets and their valuations of profitability and revenue

  • A deeper look at the fundamentals and business mix of SPAC targets MoneyLion, Payoneer, Apex Clearing, and SoFi

  • Not everything that glitters is gold

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asset managementInvestingneobankroboadvisor
·Feb. 12, 2021

How M1 Finance’s $3B AUM super-app is outcompeting Wealthfront, Robinhood, and Schwab, with CEO Brian Barnes

In this conversation, we talk with Brian Barnes of M1 Finance, about finance “super apps”, the cost-efficiencies of robo-advisors, fractionalized share trading, and tackling the titans of the Wealth Management industry. We also discuss the nuts and bolts of the financial infrastructure making this possible.

M1 Finance bundles together roboadvisory, neobanking and lending into a single “super app”, allowing for combined pricing power (i.e., charging nothing on asset allocation). The firm currently has $3 billion in AUM, a growth of 50% in the past four months and tripling their total in just over a year. Notably, the company has its own broker/dealer and offers fractional shares, and partners with Lincoln Savings bank on the deposit accounts. That makes for a compelling business model from securities lending, interchange, and order flow.

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digital lendingdigital securities / STOneobank
·Aug. 17, 2020

How Monzo, Revolut, and Starling get to break-even, and comparison with WeChat and Facebook

This week, we look at:

  • The financial model behind Monzo, and comparisons to Revolut and Starling

  • How the Eastern super apps inspired the marketplace model, and why that success is hard for neobanks to replicate

  • Paths from losing $100 million per year to break-even and enabling digital assets and other financial products

  • Facebook Financial forming to take over payments and commerce

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central bank / CBDCCryptodecentralized financeneobankOpen Bankingregulation & compliancestablecoins
·Jan. 11, 2021

How the OCC is building Crypto America and saving banks from extinction

This week, we look at:

  • How banks and financial advisors have failed to deliver on $1 trillion in capital appreciation for their clients over the last 12 years

  • The role of bank regulators in the United States, and the tensions between state and federal agencies

  • How the OCC is laying the groundwork for national banks to custody crypto assets, bank stablecoin reserves, run blockchain nodes, and use crypto payment networks

And instead of financial advisors or other CFAs guiding the retail market in good decision making, a newsfeed of *what’s popular* has driven Apple, Google, Tesla and the other John Galt hallucinations to the stratosphere. Don’t get us wrong. We love the robot as much as the next Fintech commentator. But it is clear to us that “the masses” are not being “advised”. And that the capital appreciation that matters — cementing the next trillion dollar networks for global future generations in work yet to emerge — is misunderstood and misrepresented by most financial professionals to their clients.

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