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central bank / CBDCCryptodecentralized financeopen sourcephilosophyregulation & compliancestablecoins
·Dec. 21, 2020

Crypto regulatory wargames with FinCen, FCA, and the US House of Reps, impacting Paxos, Compound, BBVA, and Northern Trust

This week, we look at:

  • Proposed US regulation from FinCEN, legislation from the House of Representatives, and UK FCA registration requirements that would impact the crypto industry

  • The difference between competition for share within an established market, and competition between market paradigms (think MSFT vs. open source, finance vs. DeFi)

  • The crypto custodian moves from BBVA, Standard Charters, and Northern Trust

  • The bank license moves from Paxos and BitPay, as well as the planned launch of a new chain by Compound, in the context of the framework above

Permissionless finance is a paradigm breach. It pays no regard for the very nature of the incumbent financial market. Without banking, it creates its own banks. Without a sovereign, it bestows law on mathematics and consensus. Without broker/dealers, it creates decentralized robots. And so on. It tilts the world in such a way as to render the economic power of the incumbent financial market less important. Not powerless -- the allure of institutional capital is a constant glimmer of greedy, opportunistic hope. But the hierarchy of traditional finance does not extend to DeFi, and thus has to be re-battled for the incumbent. This is cost, and annoying.

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Cryptodecentralized financeInvestingphilosophyroboadvisor
·Jul. 20, 2020

How Robinhood makes $90MM from order flow, and how DeFi is different

Looking into the statistics of gambling is illuminating and depressing. The UK, where gambling is more widely accepted than in the US, sees rates of 40-60% across all adults according to 2016 research. Revenues for casinos are over $100 billion annually, and global gambling revenues, including sports betting and the national lotteries, amount to over $400 billion. That's like the equivalent of the entire software cloud industry. And it asymmetrically addicts and disadvantages the already disadvantaged (see academic research here, here, and here).

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EuropeFintechNews Roundup
·Mar. 20, 2020

Robinhood Faces Uncertain Future with Lawsuits and Potential Regulatory Action

Robinhood has been one of the hottest startups in fintech but the firm has run into a number of issues...
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FintechNews RoundupUSA
·Feb. 7, 2020

SEC Commissioner Wants a Three-Year Safe Harbor Period for Crypto Tokens

SEC Commissioner Hester Peirce unveiled a new proposal at a blockchain event in Chicago yesterday for a three year grace...
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Chinacivilization and politicsCryptoICO / IEOphilosophy
·Oct. 14, 2019

The political limits of commerce — Telegram’s $1.7B US offering and NBA’s $1.5B China deal

I look at the boundaries that Telegram and EOS have crashed into in the US with recent SEC actions and lawsuits, and the melting of Facebook Libra. There have been a number of interesting regulatory moves recently, and the positive headlines of 2017 have become the negative headlines of 2019. How does SEC jurisdiction reach foreign institutional investors? We also touch on the $1.5 billion NBA distribution deal now on the fence in China, and how US companies are under the speech jurisdiction of a foreign nation. How does China reach American protected speech? Through pressure, boycott, and economics.

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artificial intelligencecentral bank / CBDCregulation & complianceroboadvisorventure capital
·Oct. 5, 2020

Is Finance asking *interesting* questions? Exploring startups, industries, and the nature of work.

This week, we look at:

  • What it means to ask questions and find answers

  • From asking simple questions that result in neobanks and roboadvisors. Who will win — Schwab or Robinhood?

  • To asking macro questions about the finance / high-tech competition. Who will win — Goldman Sachs or Google?

  • To asking profound questions about the nature of the work, and the art of finding your own questions.

We can't formulate the questions for you. But we can give you a framework of needs for both the individual, and the organization.

The questions that you ask are the answers that you will get.

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FintechNews RoundupUSA
·May. 5, 2020

SEC Makes Changes to Crowdfunding Regulations During Pandemic

The SEC is easing restrictions on reporting requirements and will also accelerate the approval of crowdfunding listings; the goal is...
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FintechNews RoundupUSA
·Feb. 13, 2020

A Short History of Accredited Investors and What Comes Next

The current definition for accredited investors was established back in 1982; since then little has changed and to be an...
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asset managementbig techdigital transformationInvestingroboadvisor
·Nov. 25, 2019

Implications of Schwab’s $26 billion acquisition of TD Ameritrade, and Tesla’s black swan truck

Well this morning started out as a bit of a bummer! See -- Charles Schwab to buy TD Ameritrade in a $26 billion all-stock deal. The $55 billion market cap Schwab is gobbling up the $22 billion TD Ameritrade at a slight premium. Matt Levine of Bloomberg has a great, cynical take on the question: Schwab lowering its trading commissions to zero is actually what wiped out $4 billion off TD's marketcap a few months ago. For Schwab, the revenue loss from trading was 7% of total, while for TD it was over 20%. Once Schwab dropped prices, TD started trading at a discount and became an acquisition target. You can see the share price drops reflected below in the beginning of October.

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artificial intelligenceasset managementCryptoregulation & compliancethings that are not true
·May. 27, 2019

How the SEC is wrong about the Internet and the Bitcoin ETF

The Securities and Exchange Comission punted again on allowing a passive Bitcoin ETF to enter the market. It failed to approve the VanEck SolidX Bitcoin Trust, instead opting to open a commentary period to address several questions around Bitcoin price formation and the health of the exchanges. A similar outcome faces the Bitwise Bitcoin ETF. You can tell I am not a fan of this waffling, and there are two core reasons: (1) the years-long delay and uncertainty is responsible for financial damage to both traditional and crypto investors, and (2) the premise of the objections misunderstand the environment of the Internet and the way our world is shaping up in the 21st century.

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