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exchanges / cap mkts

big techcentral bank / CBDCdecentralized financedigital lendingdigital securities / STOenterprise blockchainexchanges / cap mkts
·Sep. 28, 2020

DeFi should take the middle road between the extremes of QAnon and J.P. Morgan

This week, we look at:

  • How the music industry needed The Pirate Bay and Napster

  • Why J.P.Morgan is paying $1B in fines for allegedly manipulating the precious metals market

  • Whether DeFi is flirting with self-dealing and veering towards apathy

  • Why QAnon and 8chan are a bad example for global governance

  • And how the European Commission’s proposed crypto-market rules are highly productive for blockchain-based capital markets infrastructure

Read Full Story
covid pandemicdecentralized financeexchanges / cap mktsfixed incomemacroeconomicsphilosophy
·Mar. 16, 2020

Slowing GDP growth by 1.5% is like another 10 million people getting infected with coronovirus, and other analysis on financial fragility

I hope that you and yours are OK, socially distanced and stocked on essentials. Whether you feel it yet or not in daily life, the world is bracing for coronovirus impact. In this week's analysis, I look at the difficult trade-offs between health and economy, and try to quantify the impact of the likely slow-down. We look at some grim but useful concepts, like (1) the value of a statistical life, (2) what happened to the Soviet economy and life expectancy after perestroika, and (3) how our financial machines (NYSE, Robinhood, Maker DAO) are cracking at the edges. If you can do one thing -- be kind and gracious with each other as some things inevitably break.

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decentralized financedigital securities / STOdigital transformationenterprise blockchainexchanges / cap mkts
·Jan. 29, 2021

The path from institutional finance (Goldman) to enterprise blockchain (PwC) to the $26B edge of DeFi innovation (Aave) with Ajit Tripathi

In this conversation, we talk Ajit Tripathi, currently the Head of Institutional Business at Aave and a former colleague of mine at ConsenSys, about the path from traditional finance, to enterprise blockchain and “DLT” consulting, to full-on decentralized finance.

Thinking about how to connect these worlds and different available journeys? Or the timeless risks developing in tranched DeFi that look like mortgage-backed securities? We even touch on hegelian dialectics! Check out our great conversation.

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central bank / CBDCdecentralized financeexchanges / cap mkts
·Nov. 17, 2021

The role of Alameda and Cumberland as USDT market makers

We look at a recent report from Protos that traces the issuance of USDT to the institutional players in the centralized crypto capital markets. The data reveals the market share of players like Alameda, Cumberland, Jump, and others in powering trading in exchanges. We try to contextualize this market structure with what exists both in (1) investment banking and (2) decentralized finance. The analogies are helpful to de-sensationalize the information and calculate some rough economics.

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Cryptodecentralized financeexchanges / cap mktsregulation & compliance
·Aug. 28, 2020

Maturation of institutional crypto custody and prime brokerage with BitGo’s Mike Belshe

In this conversation, we talk with Mike Belshe, CEO of BitGo and expert technologist about custody, prime brokerage, and the evolution of the institutional digital asset industry.

I often mention that crypto is still all about capital markets trading (i.e., manufacturing) and not about wealth management (i.e., distribution). This conversation touches on where we are in the maturity of market infrastructure, the role of fiduciaries, and the path forward. If you are sitting in a RIA, investment fund, or other asset manager, pay attention!

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CryptoDAOsdecentralized financeexchanges / cap mkts
·Oct. 27, 2021

DeFi 2.0 Primer (part 2): Tokemak aims to aggregate and improve market making, like a decentralized Citadel Oct 27 3

This week we continue the discussion of the shape of DeFi 2.0. We highlight Tokemak, a protocol that aims to aggregate and consolidate liquity across existing projects. Instead of having many different market makers and pools across the ecosystem, Tokemak could provide a clear meta-machine that optimizes rewards and rates across protocol emissions. This has interesting implications for overall industry structure, which we explore and compare to equities and asset management examples.

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Cryptoexchanges / cap mktsmacroeconomicsphilosophyventure capital
·May. 24, 2021

Bitcoin price falling doesn’t mean what Paul Krugman claims

This week, we cover these ideas:

  • That absurd Paul Krugman article about Bitcoin. Also Jim Cramer has things to say about financial regulation.

  • If all the prices are down, which they are, does that mean that everything is bad and wrong?

  • How timing is a personal financial planning problem, not a market value problem

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civilization and politicsCryptoexchanges / cap mktspaytechregulation & compliance
·Sep. 13, 2021

The principle behind Mastercard’s CipherTrace acquisition, L1 growth, and IRS getting your bank data

Paying attention is the path to seeing and doing. Mastercard has bought CipherTrace to see blockchain-based finance, to launch new businesses, and to plug in more networks into its nexus. The crypto networks proliferate at every layer, creating more computation on Ethereum, Polygon, Arbitrum, Optimism, Fantom, and Solana. The US executive seeks to see more too, asking the banks for their records of financial transactions to enforce taxation compliance.

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Cryptoexchanges / cap mktsInvesting
·Oct. 30, 2020

Understanding Robinhood, Derivatives, and Market Makers with Paul Rowady of Alphacution

In this conversation, we talk with Paul Rowady, who is the Director of Research for Alphacution Research Conservatory. Paul has a deep background in capital markets, derivatives, and the macro structure of the industry. He has been uncovering the transformation of that structure with data driven analyses, making visible the economics of market makers like Citadel and retail order flow aggregators like Robinhood. This is a rich discussion of what trading stocks is really like. And make sure to check out Alphacution.

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artificial intelligencecivilization and politicsexchanges / cap mktsphilosophy
·Oct. 26, 2020

The AI cluster running on top of the Internet has data mined you, and has some deep fakes to sell you

This week, we look at:

  • Deep Fakes behind South Park creators' new parody, Sassy Justice

  • The AI-created author of the fake Hunter Biden intelligence report

  • GPT-3 winning the love and attention of people on Hacker News

  • How should we react to these robots and their desire to mess with our minds

Unlike equities, the crypto markets were born from machines, and are constructed from code. Hold dear the tokens in which you believe, and stay away from the stories of easy money. Nothing is easy. To win Russian roulette is not good fortune. It is, instead, a grave mistake to play a lethal game. Have you nothing to lose?

And then Brexit. And then Taiwan and China. And then Covid, again. And then, who knows.

From now on and forever, your counterparty is the data center running an AI cluster on top of the Internet. The data center that has already profiled you and knows everything about you. Bring the tinfoil hat.

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